Birthday Wereclown!

Well….this is a problem. I don’t think I’ll really be able to defend myself on this one so late in the day.

Since I have nothing to lose and for future reference I’m the sword swallower so I don’t have a very big role regardless. But it does explain my quick vote to avoid the tie that was forming when I voted the first time.
 
I'd like to hear people's thoughts on whether the wolves went for the master of ceremonies. I think this is the most likely case, and if it is, the master of ceremonies should reveal themselves since the wolves already know who they are. (But obviously they shouldn't come forward until we're positive the wolves went for them last night)

I think this would be a bad idea! I'm assuming the wolves don't know whether they guarded the master of ceremonies, or if their target was protected by the strongman, so if the master outs themselves the wolves will know who not to waste their time targeting. I can't think of a way we could be sure the wolves went for the master of ceremonies, maybe I'm bein slow though!! Someone please correct me if I'm wrong. But as far as I can see, the best time for the master to out themselves is again probably if they're about to get lynched - only if they really have to.

Right, I've been over-analysing the current situation for the two hours, I'll cut this down as much as possible =))

Because we're still statistically unlikely to hit a wolf through random voting this early on, I tend to vote for someone whose death will give the most context to other people's behaviour whether they turn out to be a wolf or a villager. Kadi hasn't interacted much with anyone yet. All we really can read back on is that Kadi threw in a vote for Mia yesterday when the votes stood like this:

Claire: I
Mia: II
Rowan: I
Kiersten: I

(Someone please check this XD)

If Kadi turns out to be a wolf, there's a small chance she could've been protecting me, Rowan, or Kiersten, but I know it wasn't me, and it almost certainly isn't Rowan (as he initiated this bandwagon), so just from my point of view alone, her death would reveal to me that Kiersten might be a wolf, and that Rowan almost certainly isn't. However, there's a stronger statistical likelihood that Kadi's wolf buddy isn't even on the list above, and she wasn't trying to protect anyone (especially since Mia already had most votes by then and Kadi didn't even need to vote!), so it's still not solid evidence and I still wouldn't know who to vote for next.

Also, nobody has objected to the Kadi bandwagon yet, and that worries me a bit. It could mean she's a wolf and her wolf buddies have jumped on the end of the bandwagon since she's going to die now anyway, or it could mean she's innocent, but given we're still more likely to hit a villager I'm leaning towards believing she's innocent

I am thinking of voting for Annabelle. If she's a wolf, I would suspect Ruben (for throwing that vote on her when she was unlikely to die), and trust Rowan and Samantha (for throwing the second and third votes on her). It's still not solid because Ruben may indeed have just been trying to avoid bandwagoning as he says, but it seems more likely to me than Kadi protecting Kiersten

My logic may be a bit wonky and I realise that I'm the only one who can trust it, so I'm not suggesting anyone should listen to me right now, but I wanted to voice what's going on in my mind in case I die and it helps later. If Kadi ends up being a wolf, I'm screwed either way now anyway since the last people to vote will be suspicious, and people who don't vote for her at all will be suspicious =)) so it really doesn't matter what I do

So for the reasons above I'm going to change my vote from Rowan to Amy Jewel... despite the fact it's probably too late to make a difference

We'll see what happens xD
Sorry for being all mathematical about it

Okay so I haven't hit enter yet but I just saw Kadi's post. Definitely sticking with this now unless anyone counter-claims :lol:
 
I voted for Kadi because at the time, the only people with votes were her, me, Rowan, and Claire. I know I'm innocent, so I won't vote for myself. Claire and Rowan have been some of the most helpful in terms of contributing theories/moving discussion forward. I'm suspicious of Rowan, but based on his last few posts, if I'm wrong about him being a wolf, then I'll be really wrong.
I guess I have to vote for Poppy or not vote because my vote won't make much of a difference unless people are trying to dissect my voting patterns
This strikes me as very suspicious because I think an innocent person wouldn't mind their voting pattern being dissected. They know that it's more information, and the village needs as much info as they can get. I'm of the opinion that extreme differences in vote counts are not helpful.

I was going to change my vote anyway, but Kadi's post cements my opinion.

I'm changing my vote from Poppy Perkins to Adorah Zumwalt
 
I had somehow missed the thing Claire quoted from Ana about revealing the master of ceremonies and it's a wild leap of logic to me. Not giving the wolves any more information seems like a logical thing to me.

Also with Kadi claiming a unique role without anyone (so far) counter claiming makes me want to change my vote. So because I'm about to go to bed and don't have time to completely analyze everything atm I'm changing from Kadi to Ana/Harper Alston for now
 
I think this would be a bad idea! I'm assuming the wolves don't know whether they guarded the master of ceremonies, or if their target was protected by the strongman, so if the master outs themselves the wolves will know who not to waste their time targeting. I can't think of a way we could be sure the wolves went for the master of ceremonies, maybe I'm bein slow though!! Someone please correct me if I'm wrong. But as far as I can see, the best time for the master to out themselves is again probably if they're about to get lynched - only if they really have to.

I had somehow missed the thing Claire quoted from Ana about revealing the master of ceremonies and it's a wild leap of logic to me. Not giving the wolves any more information seems like a logical thing to me.

My thinking was that the wolves would figure it out through the text. (Like if someone was protected by the strongman, the text would make that explicit) But neither Cyndi nor Kaitlyn have confirmed anything, so I guess we just have to assume the text is being purposefully vague. My hope was we'd know through the text it was the master of ceremonies (at which point the wolves would realize it too), they come out, and then the seer/fool could figure out their role. (In case it's not clear, I DO NOT think the master of ceremonies should identify themselves right now)

Edited for clarity and grammar
 
I think I will also vote for Adorah Zumwalt, I might end up dead anyways but I might as well. I think her jumping on the bandwagon is a little suspicious but I also know I’ve done that in previous games when things are confusing.
 
Oh shoot, we almost got out the sword swallower, lol, it's a good thing that Kadi said her role out now cause I hope we will change the voting now :lol:

And I am still confused by everything (I am sorry, I'm really slow), so I will probably put on the next person with the most votes cause I am really unsure on who to vote out as I was only briefly following what was happening. I am changing my vote for Adorah Zumwalt
 
I'm just gonna post the current votes so we don't accidentally end up with another tie:

Monty Pendleton - 1
Harper Alston - 1
Poppy Perkins - 1
Amy Jewel - 1
Adorah Zumwalt - 3
Harper Alston - 2

This is what I make it, if anyone wants to check it's accurate please do

I'm not sure whether to stick to my logic or vote for Kiersten now xD there's a bit of time so I'm going to see if Kiersten's death would give me any hints about anyone else

Edit: Made a mistake in the tally, I don't think Rowan has a vote against him any more so I removed it
Edit 2: Another mistake, Ana has 2 votes
 
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I voted for Kadi because at the time, the only people with votes were her, me, Rowan, and Claire. I know I'm innocent, so I won't vote for myself. Claire and Rowan have been some of the most helpful in terms of contributing theories/moving discussion forward. I'm suspicious of Rowan, but based on his last few posts, if I'm wrong about him being a wolf, then I'll be really wrong.

This strikes me as very suspicious because I think an innocent person wouldn't mind their voting pattern being dissected. They know that it's more information, and the village needs as much info as they can get. I'm of the opinion that extreme differences in vote counts are not helpful.

I was going to change my vote anyway, but Kadi's post cements my opinion.

I'm changing my vote from Poppy Perkins to Adorah Zumwalt
I was more so just stating out loud that my vote wouldn't make a difference for a different person, and that from watching past games, I noticed every little thing gets dissected when in reality, I have a hard time following things. As is evident by me playing the "What's the Question?" game because I have little to no comprehension skills xD I am literally just a carnival worker (which is good thinking on whoever chose roles because I'm pretty useless), but you'll know I'm telling the truth once I apparently die tonight

sad lilo and stitch GIF


I think I will also vote for Adorah Zumwalt, I might end up dead anyways but I might as well. I think her jumping on the bandwagon is a little suspicious but I also know I’ve done that in previous games when things are confusing.
THIS ^^^ I have no idea how to play this game.

EDIT: I apologize if any of this came off snarky or rude. I was just trying to contribute to the conversation before because I felt like I wasn't, and then I said the wrong thing apparently so now I must die. This game in intense.
 
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I'm just gonna post the current votes so we don't accidentally end up with another tie:

Monty Pendleton - 1
Harper Alston - 1
Poppy Perkins - 1
Amy Jewel - 1
Adorah Zumwalt - 3
Harper Alston - 1

This is what I make it, if anyone wants to check it's accurate please do

I'm not sure whether to stick to my logic or vote for Kiersten now xD there's a bit of time so I'm going to see if Kiersten's death would give me any hints about anyone else

Edit: Made a mistake in the tally, I don't think Rowan has a vote against him any more so I removed it
Just popping in to say it's two votes for Harper Alston.
I dunno everyone jumping on everyone else's bandwagons is confusing me but I'm still keeping my vote for Ana :lol:
 
Well I’m not sure if Kiersten is actually a wolf but if I chanced my vote now I would end up “sent away” if no one else did and I can’t think of anyone else I’m more suspicious of, so I’m keeping my vote.
 
Since the day is almost ending and i'm still not sure what happened I was gonna vote for the person who i am most suspicious of which is Kiersten but now it just seems like bandwagoning soooo i'm voting for my second sus which is Amber Chou Wilson. It might not make sense but her justifications on who to vote are kinda sketchy... plus there were somethings previously that made me suspect her a little but I might be just imagining and this vote won't definitely change anything.


BIG OUCHxD I am a suspect for getting the first possible wolf right? Harsh Claire...harsh xD
I am thinking of voting for Annabelle. If she's a wolf, I would suspect Ruben (for throwing that vote on her when she was unlikely to die), and trust Rowan and Samantha (for throwing the second and third votes on her). It's still not solid because Ruben may indeed have just been trying to avoid bandwagoning as he says, but it seems more likely to me than Kadi protecting Kiersten
 
Well I’m not sure if Kiersten is actually a wolf but if I chanced my vote now I would end up “sent away” if no one else did and I can’t think of anyone else I’m more suspicious of, so I’m keeping my vote.
I do understand your vote, Kadi. It makes the most logical sense.

it's okay pat GIF by HULU


I feel like I'm playing Imposter again and am getting booted out of the ship because I don't know where my tasks are

Space Imposter GIF
 
OK I'm half asleep but here's some quick thoughts before the round ends

Kadi claiming Sword Swallower is interesting to me, even moreso the fact that there hasn't been a counterclaim. Making false claims of a special role is always a hugely risky move because it can lead to a back and forth where neither party has proof, but at this point I'm inclined to believe Kadi.

Kiersten claiming to be a regular villager is a lot less convincing. It's statistically likely, sure, but it's also a role nobody can really counterclaim. I'm sure if we were all asked to claim roles we'd have a dozen happy little villagers all in a row.

I am thinking of voting for Annabelle. If she's a wolf, I would suspect Ruben (for throwing that vote on her when she was unlikely to die), and trust Rowan and Samantha (for throwing the second and third votes on her). It's still not solid because Ruben may indeed have just been trying to avoid bandwagoning as he says, but it seems more likely to me than Kadi protecting Kiersten
I very much agree with this logic, it's the same reason I voted for Annabelle yesterday. I don't see much foundation to the case against Kiersten right now, so I'm going to also change my vote to Amy Jewel. Kiersten feels to me very much like a random pick, whereas Annabelle would give us much more solid information if it turns out to be her.

EDIT: ok rather than copy and pasting I actually went back and did a full recount of votes to be certain. Unless I've missed something in all the swaps, here's where we stand.

Monty Pendleton - 1 [Samantha]
Harper Alston - 2 [Donna, Daph]
Amy Jewel - 2 [Claire, Rowan]
Poppy Perkins - 1 [Kiersten]
Adorah Zumwalt - 3 [Ana, Kadi, Sophia]
Amber Chou Wilson - 1 [Ruben]
 
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Ok. Now with less risk of a tie I will also vote for Amy Jewel. Because I believe Kiersten. I’d Annabelle turns out to be innocent this will be Very interesting.
 
Yusss Kadi

Monty Pendleton - 1 [Samantha]
Harper Alston - 2 [Donna, Daph]
Amy Jewel - 3 [Claire, Rowan, Kadi]
Poppy Perkins - 1 [Kiersten]
Adorah Zumwalt - 2 [Ana, Sophia]
Amber Chou Wilson - 1 [Ruben]
 
I'm just a carnival worker (which I understand is hard to believe, just because there are so many of us), but I don't really want to vote for anyone to create a tie now that we know that Kadi is the sword swallower.
 
I'm just a carnival worker (which I understand is hard to believe, just because there are so many of us), but I don't really want to vote for anyone to create a tie now that we know that Kadi is the sword swallower
Lol that’s fair.
 
Kiersten claiming to be a regular villager is a lot less convincing. It's statistically likely, sure, but it's also a role nobody can really counterclaim. I'm sure if we were all asked to claim roles we'd have a dozen happy little villagers all in a row.
So should I have lied or claimed a role I wasn’t? Lol

Also, question I may have missed the answer to, but I’m rereading the roles. Do the two fire eater apprentices know they are apprentices? And know who the other apprentice is?
 
So should I have lied or claimed a role I wasn’t? Lol
My point is that it's not a claim I can automatically trust :p

I'd also be very interested in an answer to the apprentice question, I had forgotten that was a factor.
 
Sunset came while the carnival workers continued to point fingers on who to send away. In the end, there was one name that stood out among all: Amy Jewel, a carnival worker. She pleaded her role, but it fell on deaf ears as they stuffed her into a cannon, and fired her away from the carnival.

The vote was all in vain, as the carnival workers went back to their tents for the evening, anxiously awaiting for the night to pass, to get rid of the wereclowns.

It is night.

Night roles, do your part. All others, including those sent away, no talking in or outside of this topic.
 
The carnival workers stayed tucked in their homes, the thick fog of night making it difficult to see too far beyond their own windows. It made good cover for the wereclowns to do their work, work that was made easy for them on this night. At the first signs of light, the carnival workers rushed from their homes but they didn't have to go far to see who'd fallen victim. The Strongman, Amber Chou Wilson, was left right in the carnival square for all to see.

It is day.
 
WELL DAMN IT

I had better claim my role then, since I'm fairly certain the ruse I was running has outlived its usefulness. I've not been terribly subtle about the things I've claimed to see 👀 in my posts, because I'm of course, the Master of Ceremonies. I've been trying to tempt the wolves into thinking I was the Seer and going for me. I made a big ol fuss about the Strongman role in the hopes they would forget Master of Ceremonies was an option. I hoped I could get away with two nights in a row before they caught on but alas, I'm fairly sure they went for me night 2, figured it out, and moved on to other players.

That aside, I think it's important to now focus on who would have reason to go for Daph. Yesterday she voted for Ana, and Ruben voted for her. I don't actually have any reason to trust either of them. (Sry Ana for making you part of my ruse) but I don't know what to draw from this. If Ana IS a wolf, going for the first person who voted for her (Donna) may have been a foolish move, but perhaps going for the second would feel safer? Seems unlikely, but it's all I can figure out from a first glance at Daph's previous posts.

Of course, it could also be completely random, and there's just no way to tell.
 
So, does Daph dying mean she tried to protect a wereclown, or did they just straight up go for her?

if we are to believe Rowan is the Master of Ceremonies, were you attempting to to get them to kill the supposed Seer since you basically can’t die?
 
if we are to believe Rowan is the Master of Ceremonies, were you attempting to to get them to kill the supposed Seer since you basically can’t die?
Yep, I was trying to lure the wolves into going for me and sparing everyone else. I hoped I could get away with two in a row, since they would think I had been guarded by the Strongman the first time.

So, does Daph dying mean she tried to protect a wereclown, or did they just straight up go for her?
This is a very good point, I had forgotten about that. I imagine that if she had protected a wereclown they would have gotten their intended kill as well.... unless they did go for me two nights in a row.

work that was made easy for them on this night.
Reading this line back, I actually think that's what happened. The wolves went for me (HAHAHAHA GET PUNKED WOLVES) but Daph tried to guard one of them.
 

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