Christmas Werewolf

Apologies guys, I meant to take that rule out the post. The wolf continues with the kill even if they kill the guardian. Sorry for the confusion!
 
Professor Katherine Alicastell-
Professor Kida FrostVillager
James CadeCupid
Professor Wren Louise-
Dreama Petulengro-
Professor Cyndi Kingsley Villager
Professor Monty Pendleton Ghost
Amber Chou Wilson-
Geovanna Volt Seer/Fool
Professor Kalif StyxAngel
Kiera PotterGuardian
Professor Patricia Styx-
Ainsley Lynch-
November AlbertsonVillager
Willow Cullen-

I almost forgot about this
So I think the remaining roles unidentified are:
- Four villagers
- Two wolves
- A seer/fool
And we have one identified Angel (Since no one else has spoken out I'm going to assume Kaitlyn is telling the truth because I feel like it'd be a really dumb wolf move to do)

So all in all, this is honestly not great.
 
Shoot, I think we all got a bit caught up with sorting xD

Are we letting it go randomiser again? This is nuts.
 
I don't know if I want to risk the Angel getting random lynched. Or myself, because that'd be lame
I am curious as to where Mia is? I've seen her on but she only ever posted day one.

wHeRe Is EvErYoNe
Sorting can wait we have a WEREWOLF TO KILL GUYS PLEASE EVERYONES DYING
 
I would hate for it to go to randomiser and loose the Angel.

For the sake of that not happening and Jesse alluding to suspicion of her I vote to lynch Willow Cullen

Plus Mia is usually also so active in this with her lists etc, being quiet does seem off for her
 
I don't necessarily think inactivity means that the person is suspicious by default, but I also really hate the idea of letting the RNG do any more harm D: It's not going well. Unless anyone has some other basis of accusing someone.

This game is very stressful for me and gives very little to go on xD
 
I might be grasping at straws, but I'm trying to find anything remotely suspicious because there's been so little to go off this game.
I feel like I'm usually good at figuring things out but this time around is really tough to try discern anything, especially when we lost our major specials so early on. Not to mention the two double night kills we've had so far. :erm:

I agree inactivity doesn't necessarily mean someone is suspicious (People get busy, or aren't invested enough), but wolves have been known to just glide along under the radar and let the more active talkers kill themselves off. Plus, if we're going to have to lynch people to stop a random lynch that could kill off one of our last major roles, I'd rather lynch someone who is either a wolf laying low, or someone not really playing the game anyway
 
I have to agree, it would at least be better than letting another person die randomly.

I vote to lynch Willow Cullen, then.
 
Professor Patricia Styx said:
I would hate for it to go to randomiser and loose the Angel.

For the sake of that not happening and Jesse alluding to suspicion of her I vote to lynch Willow Cullen

Plus Mia is usually also so active in this with her lists etc, being quiet does seem off for her
I am a villager i have just been busy, especially when i was basically at work most of the day in some of the day phases. apparently, i am not ready to commit to werewolf. so i don't blame you for voting for me. i would vote for me if i thought it would help you.
 
The time to choose someone for death had come, and no sooner had the town picked someone to die, was the lifeless body of Willow Cullen, a townie, causing the town to really look at what they were doing. They had yet to kill a wolf and this was just getting more and more worse for them now that they still had no suspicions. They knew there was someone amongst them who was not normal, but they could not work out who it was. The townies quietly head back to their homes, hoping against hope, that they would all be spared this night.</COLOR></FONT>
IT IS NIGHT​
<FONT font="verdana"><COLOR color="black">
 
As the night turned to day, all the town began to wake. They'd heard the horrifying cries of the wolf attack last night and now they wondered who they would find. One brave soul ventured out into the tense, cold, morning air and silenced a scream at the sight of young Amber Chou Wilson, a townie, shoved forcefully up a tree. The air was colder than the weather suggested and the town knew what came next. One of them was going to pay for this sin, but who?</COLOR></FONT>
IT IS DAY​
<FONT font="verdana"><COLOR color="black">


*The wolves are close to winning guys.
 
Oh crud!

Right well I'm a townie. I think Jesse & KR are the wolves because they be both been active here and trying to sway conversation to make them seem like townies so there is no suspicion on them.

So for now I'll vote to lynch Professor Katherine Alicastell just because
 
Professor Katherine Alicastell-
Professor Kida FrostVillager
James CadeCupid
Professor Wren Louise-
Dreama Petulengro-
Professor Cyndi Kingsley Villager
Professor Monty Pendleton Ghost
Amber Chou WilsonVillager
Geovanna Volt Seer/Fool
Professor Kalif StyxAngel
Kiera PotterGuardian
Professor Patricia Styx-
Ainsley Lynch-
November AlbertsonVillager
Willow CullenVillager

Kaitlyn, the people left are: Me, You, Pat, KR, Ana V and Rowan.
I wasn't suspicious of Pat until she started the lynching for Mia, when I was trying to cover all our bases and see if Mia would come defend herself (Which she did, and I found it suspicious that she'd suddenly have time to post now that her name was up for the chopping block, but then she turned out to be a villager :erm: ), and now I'm suspicious to her because I'm active - which I am. Every single Werewolf game. Sorry that I like to play and its not fun when its quiet? :lol:

That being said, I feel like Rowan is also suspiciously quiet now? From having a lengthy post and being active with the group, to suddenly dropping off. Though about it I feel like if Rowan was a wolf, he'd still be active in the chat, and it may just be a case of legitimately being busy.

KR I pointed out as being suspicious when she suggested Kaitlyn claiming Angel could be a wolf move, but no one else seemed to really comment on it, so I didn't end up pursuing it any further since I guess no one else thought so? I don't know why that was basically ignored

One theory I have is that, the wolves have gotten so far because there might only be one active, so there's few leads on people teaming up for us to pursue. I still think its possible that Ana V could be a wolf, a fact that wouldn't change whether she's been online or offline since the roles were issued, and because of her absence, the active wolf may be having an easier time going solo when we know there's two of them.

So my major suspicions are - Pat, KR, Ana V.
Kaitlyn I can trust since she's the Angel (Unless Ana V turned out to be the Angel all this time in which case I'll cry, but the chances of that are way too slim)
Rowan I feel like could just be busy (Though I've seen him online so I'm kind of wondering if that's maybe not the case now that I think more about it. The only excuse we've had is dress rehearsals I think and I don't imagine they're every day?)

I'm not dying today. I'm one of the few people who have been consistently active every single day because I really want to find these wolves and I do not love losing. I'm voting for Patricia unless someone else pops up and changes my mind. I'm not sold on whether she is 100% a wolf, but since she's attacking me this is only fair, and there's practically no one I'm not entirely 100% suspicious of.
 
Professor Katherine Alicastell said:
That being said, I feel like Rowan is also suspiciously quiet now? From having a lengthy post and being active with the group, to suddenly dropping off. Though about it I feel like if Rowan was a wolf, he'd still be active in the chat, and it may just be a case of legitimately being busy.​
I was in the theatre for pretty much the entire weekend (dress rehearsals all Saturday and 2 shows on Sunday) and I'm both recovering from that and trying to plan a family trip for next week, so that's where my activity's gone. I've been keeping an eye on things when I can, but haven't had the time/brainpower to actually theorise and participate.

The problem I keep butting up against is that by now so many of us have played this game so many times that it's difficult to know what's suspicious and what isn't and what could be tactical. Everyone is being very cautious this game, and I think it's been our downfall. I do agree that there's a significant chance there's only one wolf actually in play right now, and that's why they're walking all over us. There isn't anybody I'm not suspicious of right now, and reading back through the thread I can't find anything to sway me one way or another. I don't want to leave things tied, but every time I go back and reread the thread I second guess myself again.

Jesse consistently has been pro-lynching since the random lynches were announced and gone as far as to make lists of people who were suspicious, but never taken the step to be the first to actually choose a person to vote for. I can understand this from an innocent perspective, I've been avoiding being the first to choose a person for the exact same reason. If they're innocent, the person who named them becomes suspicious. However. Jesse was also the person who first suggested revealing roles, and not for the immune angel, but the cupid, who would be an easy target for wolves. Again, this could just be an effort to move the game along, but it doesn't sit well with me.

I feel like only posting once early on in the game and then showing up in late game to be the first to vote for lynchings would be suspicious enough wolf behaviour that it almost makes me suspect Pat less.

KR back-and-forthing about things being suspicious wolf behaviour actually doesn't strike me as suspicious, because it's exactly how I've felt this whole game. At this stage anything could be reverse psychology.

I also like to look at who the wolves target and why. Phoebe doesn't tell us much, that was a really lucky guess on the part of the wolves. Cyndi was the first target chosen with information on how people were playing the game. She was extremely vocal and tactical day one, trying to get the game moving and get lynchings happening. She also suggested that Claire shouldn't go for anyone. Steph was second, she was also quite vocal in the day before her attack, and very much wanted a lynch. Daphne was third and quite active the previous day, and voted in the day's lynch, but wasn't the one to suggest it. She's been playing less actively than usual this game because she has a lot going on at uni right now. Pat actually named a person to lynch, but wasn't attacked by the wolves for it. That would make me suspect her more, but these all feel like very tactical attack choices, and I doubt Pat would choose targets so strategically and then turn around and behave so suspiciously wolfy in the thread. Or would she? This is where I get stuck again. What's tactics and what's just human behaviour? This is why I usually stay quiet in werewolf threads :lol:

I don't want to make another rambling post that goes absolutely nowhere and does nothing but confuse people again, so.

Assuming that Kaitlyn is the angel, at least Jesse, Pat, OR KR must be a wolf. It could be two of them, but I'm inclined to think that we've got one inactive wolf. I doubt Jesse and Pat are working together, given this vote (it could be designed to sacrifice one to throw people off the scent of the other, but I feel that's a risky move so late in a game that's already going so thoroughly in the wolves favour) so the possible wolf teams are Jesse + KR, Pat + KR, Jesse + Ana V, Pat + Ana V, or KR + Ana V. By the numbers alone this vote actually means that the people most likely to be on a wolf team are KR and Ana V. If you include me in the numbers, KR, Ana V, and I are the most statistically likely to be part of a wolf team. (I'm not a wolf though.) If Ana V IS a wolf we want her to be the last one left alive, because she won't be around to attack people at night, and we'll be safe to finish off the game unscathed.
POSSIBLE WOLF PARTNERS
Jesse - KR, Ana V, Rowan (3 possible teams - possibly 2 because of how vocally suspicious Jesse has been of KR)
Pat - KR, Ana V, Rowan (3 possible teams)
KR - Jesse, Pat, Ana V, Rowan (4 possible teams)
Ana V - Jesse, Pat, KR, Rowan (4 possible teams)
Rowan - Jesse, Pat, KR, Ana V (4 possible teams but if I was a wolf why would I go to so much trouble to tie the vote worse when I could just vote for a villager or not vote at all and fly under the radar) (actually hey no 3 possible teams cause I'm voting for KR now soooooooooooo)

Does that make any sense? I went into this post looking for a way to break this tie (I even flipped a coin at one point) but I'm actually gonna tie it up even more, and vote for Kelsey Ruth. She and Ana V are statistically most likely to be wolves based on Pat and Jesse voting for each other, and having one non-participating wolf left at the end would be the ideal final scenario. Pat, Jesse, you both said you found KR suspicious, so I'm hoping at least one of you will go for this. There's so little evidence in the thread to go on that the only way I can feel good about voting is if I'm basing it on stats instead.

If KR turns out not to be a wolf it's either Jesse or Pat, and Ana V. I think Ana V should be the last vote, so that if she IS a wolf the last wolf is someone who won't do any night attacks. If I die tonight (likely if I'm wrong, given the wolves attack pattern) please know that although this was based on numbers rather than evidence I feel pretty good about it. Also I did my best and I'm sorry.

I've been editing and tweaking this post and rereading the thread and taking notes for several hours now and I have no idea if anything in this post makes sense anymore I'm very tired thank you for coming to my ted talk
 
@_@

Well this explains why you've been on the thread for so long. I was all "HMMM STAYING UNDER THE RADAR ARE WE? I SEE YOU" but then you wrote a novel :p

I need to read over it a couple more times before I can really have any real response to it, though now I'm worried that Pat and I are both innocent and tonight could have ended really badly. That being said, the teams really could still be anyone, and currently I'm the only one in a potential team that I can say is innocent, from my perspective, so that still leaves just as many people for me to be suspicious of as before.

I don't want to take everything you say as you being innocent, but I also feel like it'd be a better tactic for you to have resumed being quiet if you were a wolf, rather than bringing attention to yourself now, so I'm a little more inclined to trust you?

I'd also like Kaitlyns opinion since she's the only one any of us can trust, but if she doesn't manage to post by the time I've read through it all again, I'll probably just decide then and see if she has any input before its too late in the night for me. But its something I really need to think about because with the wolves so close to winning, this night or the next could really make or break the innocent win, and I don't want to **** this up.
 
I'm suspicious of all of yall right now, so I don't know which one seems more so...
 
At this point, I'm too tired to figure all of this out, although I've tried to read through the biggest posts and see what they all have to say.

I can see that I'm under suspicion and tbh I don't blame anyone, so I might as well out myself as the Fool. I lost track of the game after I saw Kaitlyn as the wolf earlier on; I was low-key trying to get everyone to see that anyone could claim Angel and it wasn't just an automatic gesture of innocence, but I looked at Kait that night and saw townie (she ended up being the Elf), so it was basically over for me after that; I haven't got s*** to go on :doh:

Added to which, I've been working 8 hour days so my brain's fried, but I'm gonna do my best to listen to what's been said.

From what I can work out, there's legit reasons to suspect Jesse and Ana, but I'm trying to figure out what Pat's going for, here. Rowan and Jesse have explained their reasoning so far, but all Pat's said is "I think Jesse and KR are suspicious, so I'm voting Jesse just 'cause." Whatever the case, voting for Ana's just going to split the votes three ways and I don't want that when we have a chance not to go random again. I'm not about to vote for myself here, Clara-style, sorry Rowan xD, so it's either Pat or Jesse. Based on the posts above me, I'm going to vote to lynch Pat. I need more to go on and I'm not getting enough from her post as I am from other people.
 
You're so very helpful, Kaitlyn xD

Reading over Rowan's novel, I'm switching my vote to Professor Wren Louise. Out of everyone, she sticks out to me as perhaps the most suspicious, given the fact she cast doubt on Kaitlyn being the Angel - something I feel like a wolf would be more inclined to do since their only chance to kill her off would be a daytime lynching. I'm still uncomfortably aware that potentially anyone else could be the wolf/wolves, especially since Rowan seems to come off as trying to defend Pat? So they could still be a wolf team, but I'm the only one of the three in this vote-tie that I know is innocent, and so close to the end of the game as it is, we can't risk losing another town member. Tonight has to be a wolf death if we're going to have the best chance of winning, and Rowan's post makes sense in regards to the statistics (Numbers worked in our favour last game, too), this seems to be the best current option.

edit: woah hang on 1 sec i did not see you posting

edit 2: Well **** me and any sense i thought i was making of the game c:

KR being the fool means it either Rowan/Pat, Pat/Ana, or Rowan/Ana. (Also from everyone elses perspective, me, but its not, so i'm working on my point of view with the knowledge that i'm innocent)
Rowan semi-defending Pat does, like I said, make me think they could be a pair, but again I don't know if Rowan would really take the chance of drawing attention to himself with that post. But, it did also come after Pat and me had tied ourselves up in a 50/50 vote, and this might have been an effort to limit the chances of his wolf-buddy dying? He could have voted me, but then that may have brought more suspicion on them as a group, so trying to add a third into the mix might have been a less suspicious way of trying to save Pat, while also giving Pat an opportunity to jump onto his bandwagon?
I'm changing my vote back to Patricia. If we're right and she's the wolf, then I'll be more suss of Rowan, and by then we'd have an easier time of figuring out who of Rowan/Ana the wolves are. (If Pat is the wolf, either myself or KR will die that night, and the living two can lynch Rowan, and if Rowan ends up being a villager, there'd still be two living innocents to lynch Ana. If Pat is the wolf and no one dies the next day, we can lynch Ana. If Ana isn't the wolf, and Rowan kills me or KR, we're still left with two innocents come day, so we still win)
Again, this is all because I know I'm innocent so I know not everyone is going to be on-board, but that's the best case scenario of how we win that I can possibly see.
 
Jesse's logic is sound, and thanks for Kelsey for confirming that, so that's one less I need to worry about.
Hoping that Jesse isn't playing me, I vote to lynch Pat as well.
 
WELP, KR, is lying. I'm the seer, but I've thought most of the game that I was the fool.

Night 1 I checked Daphne, because I love her but I do not trust her in this game :lol: I was told Villager for her. Night 2 I wanted to test if I was the seer or villager so I checked Ash, who is actually the Scrooge. I was told she was a wolf, though she had just died as a villager. I realised too late that she was a silly person to check, because she might be the scrooge. Night 3 I did another test and checked Dan, and was given the correct role, but I thought that was a fluke correct answer and I was the fool. I was too busy to check anyone night 4. Having seen Daph die now though, I'm pretty sure I was the seer all along, and wasted my dang role (I'm always terrified of getting seer in these games because I'm awful at it x_x)

KR's definitely gonna go for me tonight if you don't vote for her, so I don't see any additional risk in outing myself now. I tried to allude to it in my previous post so that when I died nobody would assume my theories were based on seer info ("If I die tonight (likely if I'm wrong, given the wolves attack pattern) please know that although this was based on numbers rather than evidence I feel pretty good about it. Also I did my best and I'm sorry.") but would hopefully listen to me anyway.

KR IS LYING
 
The string of daylight that had been helping the townies remain confident began to settle behind the mountains. Professor Patricia Styx was the only member the town could come to a consensus on. Stating her innocence to the end, Professor Patricia Styx, a townie, was mercilessly lynched. Realising they were closer than ever to losing this fight, the townies headed quietly back to their homes to wait out the inevitable night.</COLOR></FONT>
IT IS NIGHT​
<FONT font="verdana"><COLOR color="black">

*The wolves are close to winning guys.
 
The terror of the night was over as the town made their way into the square. Last night they’d lost Ainsley Lynch, Kris Kringle to the terror teeth of the wolves. It was only a matter of time before they lost someone else.</SIZE></COLOR></FONT>

IT IS DAY​
<FONT font="verdana"><COLOR color="black"><SIZE size="50">

*The wolves are dangerously close to winning guys.
 
Wow KR how could you deceive me like that. I trusted you. I thought we were friends :(

Since KR is so obviously not some magical second Fool, I vote to lynch Professor Wren Louise. If we lynch her today, Ana probably won't be on to make a kill the next night and we can lynch her tomorrow :woot:
 

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